Study on Ecological Compensation of Inter-Basin Water Transfer Based on Evolutionary Game Theory

Ecological compensation for inter-basin water transfer is an effective way of coordinating regional ecological environment protection and balancing the interest relationship between water-source area water-receiving area. However, there are still some deficiencies in research on evolutionary game analysis behavior stakeholders. To this end, a replication dynamic model was established to analyze mutual influence governments We examined evolution process each strategy, discussed stability result, calculated penalty amount superior supervision department through market value method willingness-to-pay method. The results show that independent selection local governments, social optimal environmental strategy (protection, compensation) will not reach balanced stable state, constraint elements must be introduced. If greater than maximum wealth lost due money residents willing pay, can achieved most easily. Taking Yangzhou, east route South-to-North Water Transfer Project, Jinan, area, as example, it loss cost Yangzhou 1.304 billion RMB (USD 189 million), Jinan pay 1.753 254 million). Therefore, order stabilize should Our could provide reference regulating stakeholders promoting innovation system transfer.